Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Fed to Print Nearly Every Trading Day for Next Month

Bernanke attempts to show he's not Krugman's bitch by changing things up ever so slightly. The Fed's new QE schedule is up and the gross amount is within expectations: $105 billion composed of $75 billion from QE2 and $30 billion from QE Lite. Contrary to historical operations, there will be more frequent auctions (nearly every day) at lower amounts.

Starting this Friday, November 12, Brian Sack will crank the presses for 8 straight business days into the 23rd, then let the presses cool down for the Turkey Day break. But come Monday, it's 9 back to back printing days into December 9 (including a second afternoon auction on the 29th).

As we stated over a month ago, the Fed is institutionalizing its mad money printing scheme. This is no longer about stop gaps--Fed printing is here to stay.


Tentative Outright Treasury Operation Schedule
Across all operations in the schedule listed below, the Desk plans to purchase approximately $105 billion. This represents $75 billion in purchases of the announced $600 billion purchase program and $30 billion of principal payments from agency debt and agency MBS expected to be received between mid-November and mid-December.
OPERATION DATE1
SETTLEMENT DATE
OPERATION TYPE2
MATURITY
RANGE
EXPECTED PURCHASE SIZE
November 12, 2010
November 15, 2010
Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase
11/15/2014 – 4/30/2016
$6 - $8 billion
November 15, 2010
November 16, 2010
Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase
5/31/2016 – 11/15/2017
$7 - $9 billion
November 16, 2010
November 17, 2010
Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase
5/31/2012 – 5/15/2013
$4 - $6 billion
November 17, 2010
November 18, 2010
Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase
2/15/2018 – 11/15/2020
$7 - $9 billion
November 18, 2010
November 19, 2010
Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase
5/31/2013 – 11/15/2014
$6 - $8 billion
November 19, 2010
November 22, 2010
Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase
8/15/2028 – 11/15/2040
$1.5 - $2.5 billion
November 22, 2010
November 23, 2010
Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase
2/15/2018 – 11/15/2020
$7 - $9 billion
November 23, 2010
November 24, 2010
Outright TIPS Purchase
7/15/2012 – 2/15/2040
$1 - $2 billion
November 29, 2010
November 30, 2010
Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase
2/15/2021 – 11/15/2027
$1.5- $2.5 billion
November 29, 20103
November 30, 2010
Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase
5/31/2013 – 11/15/2014
$6 - $8 billion
November 30, 2010
December 1, 2010
Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase
12/31/2014 – 5/31/2016
$6 - $8 billion
December 1, 2010
December 2, 2010
Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase
6/30/2016 – 11/30/2017
$7 - $9 billion
December 2, 2010
December 3, 2010
Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase
2/15/2018 – 11/15/2020
$7 - $9 billion
December 3, 2010
December 6, 2010
Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase
6/15/2013 – 11/30/2014
$6 - $8 billion
December 6, 2010
December 7, 2010
Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase
8/15/2028 – 11/15/2040
$1.5 - $2.5 billion
December 7, 2010
December 8, 2010
Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase
12/31/2014 – 5/31/2016
$6 - $8 billion
December 8, 2010
December 9, 2010
Outright TIPS Purchase
7/15/2012 – 2/15/2040
$1 - $2 billion
December 9, 2010
December 10, 2010
Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase
6/30/2016 – 11/30/2017
$7 - $9 billion


The next release of the approximate purchase amount and tentative outright Treasury operation schedule will be at 2 p.m. on December 10, 2010. This release will also include information on prices paid for securities included in the operations listed above.

______________________________
1Operations are tentatively scheduled to begin around 10:15 AM and close at 11:00 AM unless noted otherwise.
2Nominal coupon operations are specified as “Outright Treasury Coupon Purchase” and TIPS operations are specified as “Outright TIPS Purchase”.
3This operation is tentatively scheduled to begin around 1:15 PM and close at 2:00 PM.

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